Tom Bozzo
was just looking at this picture and thought it was worth sharing, a propos of recent postings on the prospective pace of stimulus expenditures:
(click to embiggen)
This shows subsequent revisions to the CBO's real GDP forecasts. Barring an exceptionally rapid recovery, GDP looks to be materially below potential output in 2011 (i.e. 3 quarters of FY 2011 and 1 of FY 2012) and 2012. Not-so-near-term stimulus is thus defensible; the real question is whether the near-term package is enough.
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